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The organization looks forward to the semiconductor industry in 2025: the AI ​ ​ replacement tide leads the growth, and the semiconductor ETF(512480) may usher in new development opportunities. On December 13, the semiconductor ETF(512480) closed down by 1.38%, with a turnover of 1.671 billion yuan. The constituent stocks are mixed, and Zhaoyi Innovation leads the rise. In terms of decline, SMIC led the decline. CICC said that after the boom in 2024, it is expected that the inventory of the semiconductor industry will stabilize and the relationship between supply and demand will be more balanced in 2025. With the gradual landing of AI cloud and end demand, domestic semiconductor elements will usher in new development opportunities. In addition, the AI-changing tide has a pulling effect on the downstream demand of the semiconductor design sector, which is expected to accelerate the growth of the semiconductor design sector in 2025 and inject new vitality into the industry.The turnover of Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets exceeded 1 trillion yuan for the 53rd consecutive trading day.Shenzhen Stock Exchange: The Shenzhen Stock Exchange, together with the Financial Office of Henan Provincial Party Committee, Henan Securities Regulatory Bureau and Zhengzhou Municipal Party Committee and Municipal Government, jointly held an industrial exchange meeting on "Shenzhen M&A Revitalizing Quality". This activity focused on the advantageous industries of high-end equipment manufacturing in Henan Province, discussed in depth the development characteristics of the industry and the main points of M&A investment, built an exchange platform, conveyed the concept of supervision, supported the integration of upstream and downstream of the industrial chain, strictly prevented insider trading in M&A and reorganization, and helped Henan develop new quality productivity according to local conditions. Next, Shenzhen Stock Exchange will continue to implement the requirements of "Six Articles on M&A" in accordance with the unified deployment of China Securities Regulatory Commission, adhere to the direction of marketization, adhere to the major strategy of serving the country, give full play to the role of the capital market as the main channel in enterprise M&A and reorganization, take various measures to support listed companies to standardize M&A and reorganization, promote the landing of high-quality cases, strengthen exchanges with market players, and strive to create a healthy and orderly market ecology.

Coal stocks fluctuated lower Antai Group fell more than 6%, coal stocks fluctuated lower, Antai Group fell more than 6%, and mountain coal international, Dayou Energy, Shaanxi Black Cat, China Coal Energy and Lu 'an Huaneng followed suit.Ha Sanlian: Four kinds of drugs are planned to win the bid for national centralized procurement. Ha Sanlian announced that the company and its wholly-owned subsidiary Lanxi Pharmaceutical participated in the tenth batch of national centralized procurement of drugs organized by the state. The company's esmolol hydrochloride injection, pentoxifylline injection, potassium chloride injection, and tandospirone citrate tablets of Lanxi Pharmaceutical intend to win the bid for this centralized procurement. If the subsequent purchase contract is signed and implemented, it will help to expand the sales of related products and improve the market share and brand influence. The prices of the above-mentioned drugs are respectively 1.34 yuan for esmolol hydrochloride injection, 0.59 yuan for pentoxifylline injection, 0.16 yuan for potassium chloride injection and 6.56 yuan for tandospirone citrate tablets.Zhongke Lanxun: The cooperation between the company and the bean bag model will be carried out in multiple stages. Zhongke Lanxun released the record of investor relations activities. In order to meet the increasing demand for AI headsets in the market, the company has carried out in-depth cooperation with Volcano Engine, a cloud service platform owned by ByteDance. The third-generation BT895x chip of Xunlong Company has completed the docking with the MaaS platform of Volcano Ark, and has been able to provide users with software and hardware solutions adapted to the large model of bean curd. The cooperation between the company and the bean bag model will be carried out in multiple stages. At this stage, the functions of real-time translation, meeting minutes, real-time dialogue and so on have been adapted. Later, both parties will introduce more AI functions in different usage scenarios. In the future, the company will continue to lay out the field of AI wearable products, continue to cooperate deeply with the big model of bean bags, and introduce AI wearable solutions with better user experience to the market.

The 30-year main contract of treasury bond futures rose to 0.62%, which continued to hit a new high. In addition, the 10-year main contract rose by 0.37%, the 5-year main contract rose by 0.27%, and the 2-year main contract rose by 0.09%, which was another record.Huawei and Shenzhen Jiaotong University released the pioneer scene of commercial operation of Shenzhen intelligent network connection. Shenzhen Jiaotong University built the first supporting platform in China. It was learned from Huawei's business officer Wei that during the 2024 academic annual meeting of China Highway Society, in the sub-forum of "Lu Yun Energy" collaborative development, Huawei, Shenzhen Jiaotong University (301091), Shenzhen Intelligent Network Connection Transportation Association and other units jointly released the pioneer scene plan of commercial operation of Shenzhen intelligent network connection smart parking, which helped the integrated and coordinated development of mopeds and Lu Yun. Relying on Huawei's high-precision visual positioning, 5G and AI technologies, Shenzhen Intelligent Networked Collaborative Smart Parking Commercial Operation Pioneer Scenario Scheme has launched a collaborative smart parking scheme combining cars and parking lots, which can provide navigation services and AR reverse car search services for ordinary vehicles. It is reported that commissioned by the government and built by Shenzhen Stock Exchange, relying on the city's digital twin platform and collecting the total traffic data of networked vehicles, the country's first intelligent networked vehicle full chain management and service support platform has been built to support the full-cycle full chain business management of intelligent networked vehicles such as testing, demonstration, access, grading, road operation and commercial operation, and support the cross-departmental collaborative supervision of intelligent networked vehicles.Chen Guo, China Securities: The 2025 policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in all directions, and the Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Chen Guo, chief strategy officer of China Securities, said that the meeting had seven highlights, including clarifying the growth target and fiscal and monetary policy measures, expanding domestic demand in all directions as the top priority of the policy, focusing on "AI+" in science and technology, focusing on implementation of reform measures, paying attention to coping with external shocks in opening up, strengthening the expression of real estate policies, and increasing efforts to improve people's livelihood. Chen Guo said that further RRR cuts and interest rate cuts from the end of 2024 to 2025 are worth looking forward to, and the easing of the liquidity environment has become a market consensus. However, this does not mean that liquidity is rampant, because the growth of money supply in the scale of social financing still continues the requirement of matching the expected target of the overall price level of economic growth. Chen Guo believes that the 2025 policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in an all-round way, and the strength and direction of the policy are in line with expectations. With the support of policy expectations and liquidity, it is expected that the market will continue to show the characteristics of volatility. From the perspective of investment strategy, Chen Guo suggested focusing on non-bank finance, real estate chain, consumer electronics, machinery, construction, building materials, steel, social services, catering chain and other sectors. In terms of theme, it is suggested to pay attention to investment opportunities such as "duality" and "two innovations", supply-side optimization, new quality productivity, market value management of state-owned enterprises and CSI A500 index.